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Tesla Analyst Adam Jonas Upgrades to 2026 Model Y: Raves About Grok AI, FSD Upgrades, and Seamless Lease Before EV Tax Credit Ends

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By Vedprakash sahu
Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas Upgrades to 2026 Tesla Model Y Ahead of EV Tax Credit Deadline
NEW YORK – Sept. 16, 2025 – Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, one of Wall Street’s most influential voices on Tesla, has upgraded from his 2021 Model Y to the newly refreshed 2026 version. His move comes just days before the September 30 expiration of the $7,500 federal EV lease credit, a deadline driving a rush in Tesla sales.

Jonas called the 2026 Model Y “a remarkable evolution,” pointing to refined design, smoother ride quality, Full Self-Driving improvements, and the debut of Grok AI as game-changers.

2026 Tesla Model Y “Juniper” Refresh: Premium Design and Comfort

2026 Tesla Model Y Juniper refresh design upgrades

The refreshed Model Y introduces luxury-grade updates including acoustic glass, softer suspension, and upgraded interiors. Exterior tweaks feature sleeker fascias, a full-width front light bar, and improved aerodynamics. Long Range trims now exceed 320 miles EPA-estimated range.

FSD v13.2.9 and HW4: Autonomy Hits New Levels
2026 Tesla Model Y exterior design with refreshed Juniper upgrade and sleek light bar

The shift from HW3 to HW4 hardware enables smoother Full Self-Driving with fewer disengagements and stronger low-light performance. Jonas reported 99% of highway miles driven hands-free in real-world tests. Subscriptions transfer seamlessly to new vehicles.

Grok AI: Tesla’s Biggest Upgrade Yet
Tesla Model Y 2026 with HW4 Full Self-Driving technology on highway.

Jonas praised Grok, Tesla’s new conversational AI powered by xAI, as the standout feature. Available on Ryzen-equipped vehicles, Grok provides real-time answers, customizable personalities, and family-friendly entertainment. Future updates will expand to navigation and vehicle controls.

EV Tax Credit Deadline Fuels Tesla Demand

The federal $7,500 EV lease credit expires September 30, 2025. Tesla’s app-based buying system has made transactions seamless, with Jonas finalizing his lease in under 10 minutes. Analysts expect a Q3 sales surge as buyers rush to secure incentives.

The 2026 Model Y Fuels Tesla's Hope

Despite a 50% year-to-date stock decline, Jonas maintains a $410 price target on Tesla, predicting a rebound driven by AI integration and refreshed vehicles. The 2026 Model Y offers up to 329 miles of range, 0-60 mph in 3.5 seconds, and an effective post-credit price below $40,000.

Model Y: AI, Autonomy, and Value

The 2026 Tesla Model Y blends advanced AI, autonomous driving, and premium refinements with affordability under the current EV tax credit. Jonas’s endorsement reinforces Tesla’s role as the industry benchmark.
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